by Bobes » Tue Jan 04, 2005 9:55 am
Hi Matrix (and others interesting in the problem „How to use WN History tables“)
First you should be aware that the Winning Numbers History Filter relates closely to the WN History page. The WN History Filter is a tool for implementing the estimations from the WN History tables.
The main purpose of this lottery strategy: The authors are looking for a way to evaluate the winning numbers occurrences in the recent past and to exploit such review using simple mathematical tools.
There are two more or less antagonistic strategies:
A) Each draw is a fully independent, separate process from the statistical point of view. Which in fact leads to an assumption that there’s nothing to prevent the latest drawn numbers to be drawn immediately again.
B) Certain, however not clearly identifiable, statistics do exist, therefore we usually bet numbers and /or their combinations not drawn so far.
It’s up to you to choose the correct strategy.
However if there are any usable statistics then it’s necessary to find a procedure „to exploit these statistics in a simple way“. The objectives are to answer the following questions:
1) Is it possible to obtain a reasonably small set of tickets, which would always contain the JACKPOT-winning ticket for the next draw?
2) What is the nature of such a set (the structure and relations between tickets)?
3) What procedure can be used to obtain such a set in simple way without extensive and complex mathematical analysis?
The answers are as follows:
Ad 1) Yes, such a set can be obtained. The set size ranges from tens to hundreds of tickets depending on the range of your estimations. Such a set always contains the JACKPOT-winning ticket for the next draw.
Ad 2) The tickets in such a set are mutually independent. It means that the resulting tickets do not usually represent an ordered wheel. On the contrary, very frequently two or more totally different tickets meet the required criteria. Therefore the set does not look like a regular wheel and if it is small enough it may not include any of the smaller wins. Nevertheless, this set always contains JACKPOT winning ticket.
Ad 3) A simple mathematical tool for estimation is presented in the WN History Page, while the WN History Filter is used for filtering to obtain the set.
TOOLS
Lottery players are usually focused on evaluation of a defined time period and they compare the frequency of individual numbers in the given selection. Evaluation used in the WN History Page is different. It does not use a constant time period. Instead it considers the last 11 occurrences of each drawn number. Therefore the evaluated period differs for each number.
WN HISTORY PAGE
WN History Page contains several tools. In the upper-left corner of screen, there’s a panel for winning numbers draw selection. It allows selection of a fixed time period as it is used at other application windows. The „Update“ button recalculates the contents of each table (Number History, History Differences, Summary Table a Summary Charts).
NUMBER HISTORY TABLE
This is a simple tool for evaluation of all 49 numbers (generally „xx“ numbers according to your lottery type) up to their 11th occurrence in the past. Each row header field represents one drawn number.
The table contains 11 columns labeled „0“ to „-10“. These columns contain information about the time period between two subsequent occurrences of this number. The column „0“ provides time period to the first occurrence of the number back in the past. E.g. if for a particular number this column contains „5“ then it means that this number was not drawn 5 times from its last occurrence. If a column contains „0“, then it means that this number was drawn just in the last draw (when playing a lottery drawing two sets of numbers in a single day, the second set is in fact the last draw and the first draw occurred immediately before the second draw, therefore „0“ is assigned to the numbers from the 2nd set and „1“ is assigned to the numbers from the 1st set). The 2nd column labeled „-1“ provides information about the time interval to the second occurrence of the number in the past as well as information about time period between the first and the second occurrence back (the value in parentheses). When for example this column contains value “6 [+3]†then it means that this particular number was not drawn during last 3 draws and its 2nd occurrence in the past was just 6 draws ago. The numbers in parenthesis show you the difference between columns „0“ and „-1“. The same applies for all other columns, they provide information for each subsequent occurrence of the number back in the past up to the column „-10“ (meaning the time period to the 11th occurrence in the past).
What happens in the next draw?
6 numbers are drawn in the next draw. Value in each row of the drawn number changes to „0“. Previous values in these rows are shifted right by one field. The value for all other numbers (not drawn) increases by 1.
How to evaluate these changes in a simple way?
Simple evaluation can be carried out using the sum of all data from all rows in each column. In column „0“ the maximum possible increment is +43 (because we consider zero for the 1st occurrence in the past). However this maximum increment is reduced by the sum of all numbers, which were in appropriate fields (column „0“). In all other columns the maximum increment is 49 and it is reduced again by the sum of values, which were in these fields before the draw. The sum totals for each column are provided in the „SUM“ row. This row is then appended to the SUMMARY TABLE.
SUMMARY TABLE
The summary table contains entries from the SUM row for each past draw so this table shows the „status“ of the Number History Table for each draw in the past. The default count of records in this table is 200 (can be changed in application’s preferences). In this table you can track how the sum for each column changes after each draw. Therefore you can estimate the values of the next sum, to which the current value will be shifted. To make these estimations more accurate there’s a graphical tool available in the „History Charts†– graph of sums and graph of differences“. If your estimations are accurate enough (e.g. within the 10 margin) you can obtain the set of (tens of) tickets filtered from the set of all combinations. Such a set is small enough and it must always contain the JACKPOT-winning ticket. Naturally, the larger estimation margins, the larger the resulting set of tickets. On the other hand, when your are sure that your estimation for the future value for some columns should be close enough (for example 3), you don’t have to define the margins for the other, so called „uncertain“, columns at all. These margins are applied using the WN History filter (see the appropriate section in application’s help)